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by Willard Wells

Author: Willard Wells
Subcategory: Mathematics
Language: English
Publisher: Praxis; 2009 edition (June 30, 2009)
Pages: 200 pages
Category: Math and Science
Rating: 4.1
Other formats: azw lrf mobi lit

But the claims in this book, "Apocalypse When?", by Willard Wells are worrisome. His logic is infallible and his mathematics is correct. Dr. Wells is a physicist and engineer with an outstanding record of successfully applying mathematics to real world problems

But the claims in this book, "Apocalypse When?", by Willard Wells are worrisome. Wells is a physicist and engineer with an outstanding record of successfully applying mathematics to real world problems. He is one of a distinguished group of fourteen P. students of the late Nobel Prize winning physicist, Richard Feynman.

Apocalypse When?: Calculating How Long the Human Race Will Survive (Springer Praxis Books Popular Science).

This book will be a key trailblazer in a new and upcoming field. Any formula for predicting human survival will invite controversy

This book will be a key trailblazer in a new and upcoming field. The author’s predictive approach relies on simple and intuitive probability formulations that will appeal to readers with a modest knowledge of astronomy, mathematics, and statistics. Any formula for predicting human survival will invite controversy. Dr Wells counters anticipated criticism with a thorough approach in which four lines of reasoning are used to arrive at the same survival formula. One uses empirical survival statistics for business firms and stage shows. Another is based on uncertainty of risk rates.

Utopian fantasies have long transfixed the human race. Yet today, a much rarer fantasy has become popular in the United States. external loads are also calculated according to different damaged positions. Finally, some results and conclusions are obtained. Millions of Americans, the richest people in history, have a death wish.

Laadige alla võrguühenduseta lugemiseks, raamatu Apocalypse When?: Calculating How Long the Human .

Laadige alla võrguühenduseta lugemiseks, raamatu Apocalypse When?: Calculating How Long the Human Race Will Survive lugemise ajal esiletõstude või järjehoidjate lisamiseks või märkmete tegemiseks. The third, more abstract, invokes Laplace’s principle of insufficient reason and involves an observer’s random arrival in the lifetime of the entity (the human race) in question. The fourth uses Bayesian theory.

oceedings{C, title {Apocalypse When? . Aliens' Arrival and the End of the World - An Apocalyptic Reading of Childhood's End.

oceedings{C, title {Apocalypse When?: Calculating How Long the Human Race Will Survive}, author {Willard Wells}, year {2009} }. Willard Wells. Kamelia Talebian Sedehi, Hardev Kaur.

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This book explains and gives examples of the conditions under which the author's principle is valid and provides evidence that can counteract the arguments of critics . Published in association with Praxis.

This book explains and gives examples of the conditions under which the author's principle is valid and provides evidence that can counteract the arguments of critics who would reject it entirely. Relies on intuitive probability formulations that are suitable for readers with a modest knowledge of astronomy, mathematics, and statistics. This book explains and gives examples of the conditions under which the author's principle is valid and provides evidence that can counteract the arguments of critics who would reject it entirely.

Willard Wells - Apocalypse When?: Calculating How Long the Human Race Will Survive (Springer Praxis Books Popular Science). Willard Wells - Apocalypse When?

Willard Wells - Apocalypse When?: Calculating How Long the Human Race Will Survive (Springer Praxis Books Popular Science). Willard Wells - Apocalypse When? Calculating How Long the Human Race Will Survive.

This book will be a key trailblazer in a new and upcoming field. The author’s predictive approach relies on simple and intuitive probability formulations that will appeal to readers with a modest knowledge of astronomy, mathematics, and statistics. Wells’ carefully erected theory stands on a sure footing and thus should serve as the basis of many rational predictions of survival in the face of not only natural disasters such as hits by asteroids or comets, but perhaps more surprisingly from man-made hazards arising from genetic engineering or robotics.

Any formula for predicting human survival will invite controversy. Dr Wells counters anticipated criticism with a thorough approach in which four lines of reasoning are used to arrive at the same survival formula. One uses empirical survival statistics for business firms and stage shows. Another is based on uncertainty of risk rates. The third, more abstract, invokes Laplace’s principle of insufficient reason and involves an observer’s random arrival in the lifetime of the entity (the human race) in question. The fourth uses Bayesian theory.

The author carefully explains and gives examples of the conditions under which his principle is valid and provides evidence that can counteract the arguments of critics who would reject it entirely. His deflection of possible criticisms results from two major premises: selecting the proper random variable and “reference class” to make predictions, and the recognition that if one does not know the law that governs a process, then the best prediction that can be made is his own formula.